(2004 – 2015)
I knew, that betting on local bookmaker, which has big margins is not profitable anymore. This is why I started betting online. During all those years, I had couple of side jobs and I also studied at the same time. But the more and more I was involved in sports betting world, the less motivation I had for my college.
I was reading books, forums, articles, everything related to sports betting. I started analysing games and making my own bets. At the same time I knew how important analytics is and I knew, that if I will watch games and read news will not be enough at some point.
I knew from my college, that if you want to be successful in the world of data and the numbers, which sports betting definitely is, you must take analytical approach. If not, it is only matter of time, when you will lose.
The most success I had in tennis, basketball and US Sports.
At one point I decided, that I will specialise for one or two sports and I will go as deep as possible. After I made research I decided for US Sports. Mostly MLB baseball. Why? Because no other sports has that many games in half year. And this is not all. Baseball is probably sport with most historical data on the internet.
I was very successful back then, but I also had ups and downs which are completely normal in high speculative business, like sports betting. I was working for some sites and portals and at some point I was also selling picks. People would pay me a lot for my advice.
I didn’t like this job too much, because the business model of selling picks can not give true value to bettors – in fact ti can put them in much much bigger troubles.
But I experienced this too and I saw everything what is wrong in sports betting world, how people think and why they lose all the time.
Selling picks was not the best decision I made and I didn’t like it, despite I made good results.
Most people don’t understand the basics and most people are gamblers, who are looking for someone, that will make them rich over night.
Majority of them don’t have discipline, knowledge strategy or money to bet.
Beating bookmakers, which are smarter and smarter every day is not easy, especially if you don’t have skill and the knowledge to bet.
To make money with betting on sports requires not only good predictions, but also a lot of discipline, good strategy, selection of good bookmakers and couple of other things.
Because most people just wanted to get picks, so they can bet everything they have in very short time with the hope of big return, they were basically gambling and it was only a matter of time, when one game or one bad streak will kill their bankrolls.
It is a story that many bettors face. Maybe you faced this story too.
Once I fully understand betting market, the odds and everything else, I felt that is is unethical to sell picks. Picks on the long run will hurt bettors, who have no other skills.
It would be like a selling a bomb to someone, who don’t know how to use it. Unfortunately there are still a lot of very bad sports betting services, that sell picks and take money from foolish people…
This is why I decided, that I will not sell picks anymore. It is not for me, I don’t like it, It gives almost no value to bettors and it simply doesn’t work for most people.
I was still betting, improving and during this time I went trough very bad and very good days in my life, like we all do. I got married and my daughter was born.
Despite there was a lot of changes in my life, I was thinking how to help people, how to give them something, that will really help them to understand sports betting world and how to help them, that they can make money.
I was thinking about this for whole year.
At the same time I was still betting, creating models, testing the models and doing what I love.