Bundesliga Weekly Projections (31.3. – 1.4.2018)

Hoffenheim vs FC Cologne

My Projected Odds:
Hoffenheim 1.47
Draw 5.45
FC Cologne 7.47
Hoffenheim +0.5 1.15
FC Cologne +0.5 3.15

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Hoffenheim 1.57
Draw 4.60
FC Cologne 5.40
MARGIN: 103.95%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Hoffenheim 1.26%
Draw -0.43%
FC Cologne -0.63%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 82.25%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 61.01%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 38.69%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 25.74%

Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg

My Projected Odds:
Bayer Leverkusen 1.68
Draw 4.65
Augsburg 5.22
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 1.24
Augsburg +0.5 2.46

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Bayer Leverkusen 1.54
Draw 4.50
Augsburg 6.00
MARGIN: 103.82%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Bayer Leverkusen -1.59%
Draw -0.09%
Augsburg 0.30%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 80.08%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 57.67%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 35.27%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 21.61%

Schalke 04 vs Freiburg

My Projected Odds:
Schalke 04 1.47
Draw 5.40
Freiburg 7.55
Schalke 04 +0.5 1.15
Freiburg +0.5 3.15

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Schalke 04 1.59
Draw 3.95
Freiburg 6.40
MARGIN: 103.83%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Schalke 04 1.44%
Draw -0.91%
Freiburg -0.28%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 81.46%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 59.78%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 37.41%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 24.74%

Hannover 96 vs RasenBallsport Leipzig

My Projected Odds:
Hannover 96 3.03
Draw 4.00
RasenBallsport Leipzig 2.38
Hannover 96 +0.5 1.72
RasenBallsport Leipzig +0.5 1.49

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Hannover 96 3.75
Draw 3.70
RasenBallsport Leipzig 1.99
MARGIN: 103.94%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Hannover 96 0.87%
Draw -0.28%
RasenBallsport Leipzig -1.67%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 77.32%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 53.65%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 31.36%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 16.36%

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV

My Projected Odds:
VfB Stuttgart 1.90
Draw 3.81
Hamburger SV 4.73
VfB Stuttgart +0.5 1.27
Hamburger SV +0.5 2.11

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
VfB Stuttgart 1.79
Draw 3.55
Hamburger SV 5.00
MARGIN: 104.03%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
VfB Stuttgart -0.74%
Draw -0.26%
Hamburger SV 0.14%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 67.61%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 41.20%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 20.69%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 10.74%

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund

My Projected Odds:
Bayern Munich 1.47
Draw 4.84
Borussia Dortmund 8.84
Bayern Munich +0.5 1.13
Borussia Dortmund +0.5 3.13

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Bayern Munich 1.40
Draw 5.40
Borussia Dortmund 7.20
MARGIN: 103.84%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Bayern Munich -1.19%
Draw 0.26%
Borussia Dortmund -0.30%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 71.84%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 46.33%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 24.84%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 15.64%

Hertha Berlin vs Wolfsburg

My Projected Odds:
Hertha Berlin 1.99
Draw 3.94
Wolfsburg 4.10
Hertha Berlin +0.5 1.32
Wolfsburg +0.5 2.01

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Hertha Berlin 2.15
Draw 3.25
Wolfsburg 3.75
MARGIN: 103.95%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Hertha Berlin 0.69%
Draw -0.77%
Wolfsburg -0.31%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 72.53%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 47.22%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 25.59%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 13.63%

Werder Bremen vs Eintracht Frankfurt

My Projected Odds:
Werder Bremen 2.06
Draw 4.14
Eintracht Frankfurt 3.66
Werder Bremen +0.5 1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.5 1.94

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Werder Bremen 2.34
Draw 3.35
Eintracht Frankfurt 3.20
MARGIN: 103.84%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Werder Bremen 1.01%
Draw -0.81%
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.57%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 78.09%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 54.75%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 32.41%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 18.22%

Mainz 05 vs Borussia M.Gladbach

My Projected Odds:
Mainz 05 2.60
Draw 4.21
Borussia M.Gladbach 2.65
Mainz 05 +0.5 1.61
Borussia M.Gladbach +0.5 1.63

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Mainz 05 2.65
Draw 3.40
Borussia M.Gladbach 2.70
MARGIN: 104.18%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Mainz 05 0.12%
Draw -0.80%
Borussia M.Gladbach 0.11%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 81.79%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 60.28%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 37.93%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 21.62%

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