BASKETBALL BETTING MODEL RESULTS

Betting Experience
Unit / Bet size

+66.81 units

$100 bettor made +$6,681 since February 4th, 2017

ABOUT BASKETBALL BETTING MODEL

On February 2017 I created a simple betting model for basketball betting. The main idea was to help basketball bettors, so they can project their own spreads and totals before they make final bets. Since then I bet on basketball games from different leagues. The beauty of this model is simplicity and the chance to project lines for any league you want. I usually start betting after 30-40% of all games are already played in the league. I simply check the difference between my spreads/totals and bookmakers spreads/totals. If there is enough big difference, I make a bet.

Basketball Results

MLB BASEBALL BETTING MODEL RESULTS

Betting Experience
Unit / Bet size
  • More than 1000 bets wit profit
  • CLV (Started tracking in 2018): +1.88% / Beat the line: 64% (Biggest value plays: CLV: +3.48%, BTL: 73.39%
  • Strategy: 1-2 unit per bet

+91.28 units

-27.51 units on gut plays (not betting model)

$100 bettor made +$9,128 since 2016

ABOUT MLB BETTING MODEL

MLB baseball is my favourite sport to bet and also my most successful in my betting career. I started betting MLB somewhere in 2004 and this was the time, when I was at the college and started to learn about statistics. With so many games and huge data base, I started to analyse baseball games. I use my betting model for MLB before I make final bets and I try to upgrade knowledge every year.

NFL BETTING MODEL RESULTS

Betting Experience
Unit / Bet size
  • New sport for me
  • CLV (2018 first season): +0.11 / Beat the line: 46.30%
  • Strategy: 1 unit per bet

+15.51 Units

$100 bettor made +$1,551 since September 6th, 2018

ABOUT NFL BETTING MODEL

NFL is most popular sport to bet in USA and I received many requests from US bettors to create one simple betting model, so they can project their own spreads and totals before they make final bets. I have created simple betting model in google sheets and every week on Tuesday I project my own odds. Then I compare my spreads/totals with bookmakers numbers and if there is enough big value (difference) I make a bet. I simply blindly follow those numbers.

Results

NHL ICE HOCKEY BETTING MODEL RESULTS

Betting Experience
Unit / Bet size
  • More than 1000 bets wit loss
  • CLV (Started tracking in 2018): +1.28 / Beat the line: 60%
  • Strategy: 1-2 unit per bet

-66.89 units

$100 bettor made -$6,689 since 2017

ABOUT NHL BETTING MODEL

NHL was one of my most successful sports to bet in the past. It was second best sport after MLB, but in in last 2 seasons I started struggling and despite some of A Journey members make profit with the tools and knowledge that learned from me, I am now in a process of re-building a model. My unit size is much smaller now compared to MLB and also compared to basketball and the main goal right now is to create a betting model, that will have the edge over the market on the long run.

Results

2018/2019 – in progess

2017/2018: -66.89 on math model plays and -8.62 on gut plays

2016/17 (started with my site): +157 Units

ABOUT BETTING CHALLENGES

Sports betting is much more for me, than just looking how to win money. For me it is also intellectual challenge, where I try to find more ways how to beat market, how to project winning percentages for different sports, finding different ways how to make money or simply find some profitable ideas. Usually I spend less time/money for those challenges and if I see some potential, then I go deeper. One of the most exciting challenges is bitcoin betting, because I am huge believer in bitcoin and blockchain technology, which will have (in my opinion) have huge impact on sports betting and gambling world in the future. I believe that bitcoin price will go up in the future. If you bet with bitcoins and if you make profit, that means, that you will have at the end more bitcoins. If bitcoins will go up (which I strongly believe), then you make “double” money.

This is not picks service – We don’t sell picks!

I saw many very good handicappers in the past with great results and their followers, who couldn’t make a profit, despite they get the best “picks advice”. I am 100% sure, that focusing only on picks and being a follower is wrong focus and this is why most bettors lose. My main goal is to give enough tools (knowledge, experience, betting models, templates,…) so bettors can start betting on their own and start creating their own unique methods. My goal is to help average bettor to understand how sports betting works and what is important to win. But at the same time I try to improve every year, challenge in new sports and learn new things, because KNOWLEDGE is the power.

I share my picks trough different channels (instagram, twitter, youtube, this page,…) to stay transparent. This is the only reason for sharing picks.

You also don’t need to bet every single sport or league. To be successful in sports betting and start making money the only thing you need to find is one bet type, maybe one league, where you are successful. Competition is to big now to be expert in all sports.

Subscribe to my channel for more great betting stuff:

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    MLB
    NHL
    NFL
    BASKETBALL
    SOCCER (Premier League, Championship, La Liga, Italian Serie A, Bundesliga, Bundesliga II, Ligue 1, Super Lig (Turkey), Brazilian Serie A, Eredivisie, Russian Premier League)

  • Betting Knowledge Videos
  • Daily Projections
  • Daily Bets
  • Personal betting formulas and sheets and exclusive videos about how I have created my personal betting models
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  • Betting Projections:

    MLB
    NHL
    NFL
    BASKETBALL
    SOCCER (Premier League, Championship, La Liga, Italian Serie A, Bundesliga, Bundesliga II, Ligue 1, Super Lig (Turkey), Brazilian Serie A, Eredivisie, Russian Premier League)

  • Betting Knowledge Videos
  • Daily Projections
  • Daily Bets
  • Personal betting formulas and sheets and exclusive videos about how I have created my personal betting models
  • One Time Payment and Lifetime Access
  • Paypal, Skrill, Bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies), Credit Card
    (Contact me at mb@underdogchance.com for more info about payments)
  • KNOWLEDGE – Most bettors don’t know that they don’t know basic things about sports betting. This is the number one reason why most sports bettors in the world lose money all the time. We have created videos and we will add them more in the future to inform bettors what is important to win at sports betting, how to set money management, what is yeild, CLV,… and many other things. Knowledge and right mindset is most important. The rest is just result of this. For only $39.99 you can watch our betting videos unlimited times
  • PROJECTIONS (with our daily bets) – The basic concept of making money is to beat the market and their prices. In other words, if you invest in something with big potential (buy low – sell high) you will make profit. This is the basic concept (not picking winners, like 95% of bettors think). But to beat the market you need to understand the prices or if you like, you need to estimate somehow those prices and compare it with market (bookmakers) prices. And the prices are nothing else, than the odds. And the odds are nothing else than probabilities turned into the numbers. We use betting models to project our own odds and winning percentages. With this you will get the first picture before you bet. Betting without numbers and statistics is wasting time and unfortunately most bettors struggle with this part and they rather go with gut feeling. With our daily projections, we help you with numbers, so you can make better sports betting decisions.

SPORTS/Leagues:

  • MLB
  • NHL
  • NFL
  • BASKETBALL
  • SOCCER
  • Premier League
  • Championship
  • La Liga
  • Italian Serie A
  • Bundesliga
  • Bundesliga II
  • Ligue 1
  • Super Lig (Turkey)
  • Brazilian Serie A
  • Eredivisie
  • Russian Premier League

A Journey Betting Course – What is the difference?

A Journey betting course is premium course, where you get all my private betting formulas and final sheets to download with exclusive videos about creating them. A Journey course is open only couple of times per year and once you buy it you have lifetime access. If you have more questions, send me email at mb@underdogchance.com or read more about journey here.