My Projected Lines and the odds
Public will be on Islanders and this is something I don’t like here, but still, I think Islanders are good play. I have projected, that they have around 65.4% of chance to win this game. With that, they should be favourite of around 1.53. Bookmakers give me the odds of around 1.70 and they pay me around 0.17 more, than I expect.

Match Up
NY Islanders lost 6 of last 7 games, but they had one of the toughest schedule in past two weeks. 5 of 7 games were on the road and even those two games at home were against top teams – Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. Then they had to travel to West coast, where they played also top teams like San Jose, Anaheim and Los Angeles. Then they lost also against Florida and Tampa on the road. This is their last 7 game stretch and I must say, they played really really good teams. Today this will be for the first time after those games, that they will face a team, which is below league average based on points. The odds dropped on Calgary, but the reason was, because Islanders will start with Thomas Greiss, who is their second goalie. But he is playing well. Last season he finished with SV% of more than 0.920 and this season he sits on SV% of 91.5%. Calgary on other side will play b2b game, they played against Philadelphia yesterday, where they lost by 5-3 and their legs will be little bit more tired than players of home team. Calgary will start with Elliot, who is not playing well this season and he is becoming their second goalie. In 12 games this season he sits on SV% of 88.2% and they lost 9 of his 12 starts. On the road his SV% is even lower (87.5%).
Reason for pick
Calgary will be tired after yesterday’s game and they will start with Elliot, who is struggling this year (3-9, SV% of 88.2). They lost 4 straight games versus Islanders and they also lost 5 of last 6 meetings in New York. Islanders lost 6 of last 7 games, but they probably had the toughest schedule in those 7 games and I think this is not real picture of this team. They are better and Calgary is a team, that they can beat, especially at home.
Play NY Islanders

  1. Always get the best price

Every professional sports bettor will look to get the best possible odds and if you have only one bookmaker account, you will miss a lot of good odds. Is this important? Yes it is, because you will lose money with every bet if you don’t bet on the best odds possible. It is the same if you want to buy a jacket and the shoes. In your city there are two shops, who sell exactly those shoes and that jacket you want.
In first store the price is:
Jacket $250
Shoes $200
In the second store:
Jacket $280
Shoes $170
Will you buy both shoes and the jacket in the same store or you want to save $30? Every smart person will try to save some money and will look to find the best price.
It is the same with bookmakers. If you have only one account and if you want to bet on one game, you will always get that odds, which your bookmaker will offer you. But if you have multiple accounts, you can get always the best possible odds. Here is the example of today’s NHL game between Philadelphia and Calgary. Pinnacle’s odds are 1.79 on Philadelphia and 2.15 on Calgary, while William Hill has 1.71 on Philadelphia and 2.20 on Calgary. If you have both accounts, you will make €80 more if you make a bet of €1000 on Pinnacle and you will make €50 more if you bet on Calgary at William Hill. Or if we turn things around, you will lose that money if you don’t have both accounts. Now, calculate all the bets you make trough one year and if you have more accounts, you can simply make much more money!

  1.  Get all the bonuses and free bets you can – why not?

So, what is a bonus or free bet? Bookmakers will usually award new players with some extra cash or free bets. For example if you sign up on 10Bet right now, they have bonus of 50% up to €200. “To be eligible for this promotion, your qualifying deposit amount must be rolled over once on settled sports bets with odds of at least 1.60. Any bet placed on any type of handicap (except 3-Way Handicap) or Over/Under will not count towards this requirement.” So, you roll over once your cash, play odds of 1.60 or more and then they give you extra money, which is great. I almost never play odds less than 1.60 and after some time you can roll over your starting deposit money. Almost every bookmaker will offer some bonuses and you can grab up to $1000 of bonuses on my site. Why they do this, is because they want to attract new players and if you are smart and disciplined, you can take that money.
  1. Stay under the radar

Here is the list of bookmakers, which are personally verified by me. Those are the safest and most reliable bookmakers right now, but still, when you start winning a lot, bookmakers will watch you and I don’t trust 100% anyone. There are a lot of stories on the internet, when bookmakers closed accounts or limited players, because they started winning. Such a things are unacceptable, but this is our reality and it is happening. This is why I am very careful and like to stay unsuspicious. If you spread your money on several bookmakers, you can stay longer under the radar.

My Projected Lines and the odds
Public is undecided in this one and there is an action on both teams in this one. odds dropped on Boston and right now we can get Boston at around 1.77. I have projected, that Boston has 61.3% of chance to win this game. With that number I have projected odds of 1.63 on Boston.
Match Up
Boston lost 3 straight games right now and the biggest problem is that they didn’t score. They have problem with scoring and I belive they will step up today against Tampa Bay. They have very good record against Tampa Bay in the past, winning close to 85% of all games at home against them in last 39 games. They also won 55 of last 77 games against them. They played one game this season and guess what, Boston won on the road in Tampa. Today they will have little bit easier job, because Tampa Bay is still playing without their best player Steven Stamkos. Tampa Bay lost 2 of last 3 games and despite they have 3-2 record in last 5 games, they were outplayed by -5 shots per game in those games.
Reason for pick
I like Boston in this one. They play Tampa Bay well and they need a win after 3 straight games. Brad Marchant is questionable for them, but they still have a lot of quality and can beat Tampa. Boston Bruins has better goalie this season and they play more offensive hockey right now (+5 shots per game).
Play Boston

My Projected Lines and the odds
Pittsburgh lost yesterday heavily against Minnesota, but the bookmakers still give them very big chance in this one. They offer odds of around 1.40 on Pittsburgh and I have projected that they should be even bigger favourite in this one. I give Pittsburgh around 76.8% of chance to win this game and because of that my projected odds on them are around 1.30.
Match Up
Pittsburgh lost yesterday in Minnesota and they went after the game home to play b2b game versus New Jersey. But also New Jersey played a game yesterday and this is for them b2b too. When Pittsburgh lost a game by 3 or more goals, they play the next game much better. In last 9 games, when they lost by 3 or more goals, they are 9-0. With all this talent I also believe, that they will show much more energy and better game tonight. Pittsburgh also played with Fleury yesterday, who is not playing that well this season and i believe, they will turn back to Murray in this one. On other side New Jersey will rest their best goalie – Schneider and they will start with Kinkaid, their second goalie. He has good SV%, but he also played only 4 games this season, because this team trust Schneider more and he is only there for couple of games, so Schneider can rest little bit. New Jersey is 3-8 on the road and they also lost 4 of last 5 games. They have strong defence, but this defence allowed at least 4 goals in each of last 5 games, which is not good. Pittsburgh on other side is 7-3 at home, where they score 3.1 goals per game.
Reason for pick
Back to back game for both teams, but we have Pittsburgh, who will start with their best and first goalie and we have a New Jersey on other side, who will rest their best goalie. Pittsburgh lost yesterday and they will bounce back today. They have more talent, they are strong home team and I don’t see anything else, than home win.
Play Pittsburgh -1.5

My Projected Lines and the odds
Odds are dropping right now on St Louis, but I still think we have a value on Boston. I have projected that Boston should be a favourite of around 1.54. Bookmakers give me around 1.79 and because of that I have value on them.
Match Up
First information about this game would be Alex Steen who will miss this game for St Louis and he is important player for this team. On other side Boston could have Pasternak back. Boston is playing good hockey right now. They won 4 of last 5 games and what is even more important for me here is that they outplayed other teams by +12 shots per game, they outplayed other teams in those games by +1.6 goal difference and they allow only 1 goal per game in this hot streak. I think we must ride this horse right now, when he is still hot. St Louis on other side is 3-3 in last 6 games, but they won 3 straight games. But we have to take into account two things. First is that they are awful on the road. Record 2-6, -1.6 goal difference and they allow 4.1 goals per game on the road. The second thing is that they will play without one of the most important players for them – Alex Steen. Boston will also have better goalie right now (Rask SV% in last 4 games 96.8%).
Reason for pick
Boston is red hot right now. They play very good defence and they have better goalie in the net right now. St Louis on other side is bad road team and I also projected, that they should be much bigger underdog.
Play Boston

My Projected Lines and the odds
NY Rangers lost yesterday and the odds on them are 2.44 right now. I have projected them at 1.60, which is pretty big differnce and I think there is a value on them.

Match Up
NY Rangers will start with their second goalie Raanta, but he is playing really well. His record is 4-1 and SV% is 93.7%. In two road games he has SV% of more than 96%. After yesterday’s game, when they lost against Florida, they will rest their first goalie Lundqvist. But I believe, we have good goalie here for Rangers. Pittsburgh on other side will probably start with Fleury, who is not playing that well and there are rumors, that he could leave Pittsburgh before the end of this season. His record in last 4 games is 0-3 and his SV in those games is just 90.6%. NY Rangers lost Zabinejad yesterday, but I think Pittsburgh could have more problems with injuries, because they just placed on IR Kunitz and Hornqvist, who could also miss this game.

Reason for pick
NY Rangers are playing better so far this season and with Raanta we have better goalie. Better record, better defence and better SV%. Pittsburgh on other side will be without Kunitz, who is one of the most important players for this team. They could be also without Hornqvist, who is day-to-day. This is B2B game for Rangers and they will have tired legs, but even if I include this in my model, there is still value on NY Rangers.
Play NY Rangers

My Projected Lines and the odds
I have projected that Devils have around 43% of chance to win this game and with that I have projected that they should be underdog of around 2.32. Bookmakers offer odds of around 3.00 on them and I think they are underrated here. I still believe, that San Jose is better team and they have better chance to win this game, but not for that price.

Match Up
When we compare those two teams, Devils are better team so far based on points. They collected 21 points in 17 games, while Sharks have 19 points in 18 games. I usually don’t watch standings, but I wanted to point this out here, because we have one team at 3.00. Devils are playing without their best offensive player Taylor Hall, who is out, but they are anyway not to much offensive minded team. Their strength is defence. They allow only 2.2 goals per game and they also allowed only 24 shots per game in last 5 games. San Jose on other side is also playing well defensively. They allow only 2.3 goals per game, but they also score only 2.3, which is even less than New Jersey. So, with New Jersey we have a team, who is better based on points and a team, who has better goal diff.
San Jose will probably start with Martin Jones, who is 8-8 to the season with SV% of 90.9. New Jersey will start witj their backup goalie Kinkaid, who played 3 games so far this season and his record is 2-1 and SV% is 94.4%.

Reason for pick
New Jersey is totally underrated here. They are better team based on points, they are better team wen it comes to goal diff and they have very solid goalie in the net today. San Jose is still better team, I don’t deny this, but they are simply overrated. We have two strong defensive teams and this could be very close game, where anything can happen at the end and this is why odds of 2.9 or more are too much on New Jersey. i would play New Jersey for the odds of 2.60 or more. I have them at close to 3.00.
Play New Jersey

I will be quick with this one. Tampa Bay lost Steven Stamkos and they are without Stralman too and those are two important players for this team. They are going to play Nashville on the road. This will be the last game on this long road trip for them. After that game, they will go home and tomorrow they will have day off. They will play against very strong home team. Nashville is one of those teams, who are struggling on the road, but at home, they are playing much better. Their home record is 5-2. They score 3.1 goals at home and allow only 1.4. Impressive.
Tampa bay on other side has positive record on the road (7-4), but they were also outplayed couple of times (-0.7 shot diff). They will start with Bishop who is 7-5 this season with SV of 90.9%. On other side Nashville will start with Rinne, who is 4-2 at home with Sv% of 95.3%.
Odds dropped on Nashville and I think there is a good reason. They are very strong at home, they will face Tampa Bay, who will play their last game on the road and tomorrow, they can go home. Note also that Tampa Bay is without their best player, who got injured couple of days ago and I think this could be one of those games, when Tampa will lose by 2 or more goals.
My predictive models gives small value on Tampa Bay based on current odds, but I will go with my gut feeling in this one. This is my rare gut play in NHL. Most of my bets are based on my analysis and predictive model. But I like Nashvile because of those reasons above.
Play Nashville!

My Projected Lines and the odds
My projected lines are 1.64 on Columbus and 2.57 on Colorado and this is one of those rare plays, where I will go against my numbers and will take Colorado.
Match Up
Columbus just beat Washington yesterday and they traveled home after yesterday’s game to face Colorado. When teams beat Washington or Pittsburgh on the road, usually public overeact to those situations and take those team. But usually teams can not play two games in a row at such a levels, especially average teams. Columbus is playing better this season, than i expected. But they deserve it. Today they will probably start with their backup goalie and then the odds will probably drop on Colorado. Colorado on other side will start with Varlamov, who is still their best goalie and they took a huge win over Minnesota in last game. That was big momentum game for them and I think if they can keep the effort they can beat tired Columbus here. Note that Colorado had 2 days off to prepare for this game.
Reason for pick
Colorado has amazing record against Columbus in the past. 7-3 in last 10 games and 36-16-1 in last 53 games versus Columbus. They just gained a lot of momentum in last game and they also had 2 days off to prepare for this game. Which we can not say for Columbus, who played yesterday and they gave it all to beat strong Washington. Public will be on Columbus, but the right play is Colorado.
Play Colorado

My predictive model
Odds dropped little bit on Florida and rised on NY Rangers and I think we have a value on NY Rangers tonight. My projected win% on NYR is 69.9% if Florida start with their best goalie Luongo. If they start with their second goalie Reimer, Rangers win % will be even bigger. With that I have projected that odds should be around 1.43 on NY Rangers. Bookmakers give me little bit more.
Match Up
NY Rangers are third best team based on points so far in NHL and my personal opinion is that they are one of the contenders if Lundqvist can play at high level. They score 4.11 goals per game and allow only 2.33. Florida on other side score 2.72 goals per game and allows 2.67 goals per game. Florida is playing better right now and they just beat Ottawa on the road yesterday, but this is B2B game for them and they could also res their best player, the other players will not be fresh as on other side Rangers players.
Reason for pick
Rangers are one of the best teams in NHL so far. They play high pressure game, they score a lot and they will face Florida, who is playing B2B game. Florida played yesterday in Ottawa, where they played good game and they gave more than 100% as we like to say. They wil have tough job here in New York against rested Rangers.

Play NY Rangers