Dear Sports Bettor,
Tired of losing all the time?
Tired of following other people’s picks?
I notice something pretty frustrating every time when I talk to my friends who bet.
Most of them love sport and most of them know how to place a bet but only a few understand what are the odds, what is probability or even how to turn winning percentages into the odds.
Most of them are looking for sports picks and someone who will make them rich quickly but only a few understand that nobody can make you rich, except you.
Most of them think that the only thing they need are so-called winning picks, but only few understand, that following sports picks in dynamic sports betting World, where odds change every minute, is almost not possible.
After all, most of them can not identify who is true winning bettor (and – no W-L record or profit alone will not tell anything about betting skill). Most bettors results are just the product of survivorship bias, which means, they won by luck, not by skill and it is only a matter of time when their results will regress to the mean.
After all, placing a bet is just small piece of whole story and successful sports betting is combination of many smaller important steps.
Most of them think that they will win bets if they will know who will win the game, but only few understand that finding the value and at the end beating the closing line is important to win on the lung run.
Most of them are still naive and think, that they will beat bookmakers just by reading news, watching games and because they love sports. But only a few understand, that on the other side we have bookmakers, who are better and better every year, who use complex algorithms and using statistics is crucial if you want to even start thinking to beat them.
They will usually act very emotionally when they lose or win and they will usually jump from site to site, from handicapper to handicapper with he hope, that they will find someone, who will make them rich.
Unfortunately, their attempts aren’t successful, and I hate to see the look on their faces when they realise that sports betting is not working.
Sports betting and gambling market is bigger and bigger every year. It is a couple of billion USD market. Gambling generates more revenue than movies, spectator sports, theme parks, cruise ships and recorded music combined.
Millions of people bet every day and 97% of all people lose.
Lifetime.
The first problem is that most bettors are heavily affected by today’s marketing, the hype and social media.
They are looking for so called winners (picks) and their brains are targeted daily from successful stories. But what we miss here is that many of results are the product of survivorship bias (luck) and negative results (or streaks) are simply ignored.
With this our brains create completely false picture about everything and we start focusing on completely wrong things.
It is a problem not only in sports betting World, but it is a general problem of modern society.
Picture below: Northwest Institute on Addiction Studies Conference, 2015, Julie M. Haynes, MA, CPS:
They spent months searching for someone who will make good bets for them, did their best to understand sports betting, but there is so many bad information on the internet and it is hard to find what is truth.
They may even have spent thousands of dollars on subscriptions.
All of this will usually lead to big disappointment, no matter if they find winning bettor. It is a general problem of sports betting world and almost impossible to follow other people’s bets.
I spent years wondering why most people are so naive when it comes to sports betting. Why they have created wrong illusion and why they think that following other people’s work without any effort from them will bring them great results.
And I finally found the answer.
I was talking with my friend, who is fitness trainer and I asked him, how to get 6-PACK ABS.
Most people believe, that if they will go to the gym, and if they will train hard, that they will lose weight, get 6-pack abs.
But of course, this is not true. I always remember his words, that the training is only 30% of whole story and that most important thing is what you eat. 70% of everything is food.
The problem with people, who train hard, but still don’t get enough results was wrong focus, because they didn’t pay attention to what is most important. And this was the food.
In general more and more people understand this now.
Unfortunately, in sports betting most people still focus on that 30% (picks).
They will focus on finding other people’s picks trough forums, portals, betting services, twitter.
Some of them will focus on researching games, reading news, watching games at night… but of course in most cases and especially on the long run, this is not working.
Most bettors on the internet don’t have the edge anyway and they show only short term results and build marketing on that. A lot of naive people will jump on this.
The problem is – WRONG FOCUS.
To make a bet or to find so-called pick is the last phase you do.
There is a lot of other things to learn before you place your bet. There is many other things that are important to understand in order to have chance to win at sports betting.
Betting without strategy, constantly following other people’s picks in dynamic sports betting world, where the odds are changing every minute and betting without any statistics at all will lead to disappointment.
If you lose all the time, this is probably because you had wrong focus. You are focusing on that “30%” but missing other “70%”.
MB here…
And before I talk more about the most important skill that you can develop (that will give you a chance to win at sports betting on your own)…
I wanted to take a minute to tell you about part of my journey and….
So make sure you read this until the end because what I’m about to reveal WILL change your betting experience forever.
Not only that will change your betting experience forever, it will give you a true chance to make money in sports betting.
For over 20 YEARS, since 1998 I’ve been betting and later I was connected with sports bettors all over the World.
I’ve been helping people JUST LIKE YOU for last couple of years.
People who decided to make a next step in sports betting.
People who need the knowledge, who need betting method that will work for them.
People who need that extra push and the motivation. The spark.
I started betting in 1998, when I was 18 years old. I made some bets even before that in local betting shops and there were no age restrictions back then.
The lady, who worked in a local betting shop didn’t care how old are you. She took money, gave you the ticked and that’s it.
I started like most bettors. I bet for fun and I was losing money all the time.
Later I went to the college and I was lucky there, because I gained basic knowledge about math and statistics basically for free, which helped me later.
Back then the bookmakers were still not that flexible and smart like they are now.
I made a lot of money just by checking my local bookmakers odds with some big betting sites.
When Pinnacle dropped the odds and my local bookmaker didn’t move the line and where I basically got better odds than Pinnacle, I simple knew that this was a good bet.
When they realised, that I am winning they started to block my bets and my combination.
They were smarter and smarter every year and it was a time to move on.
I started betting online and I made every single mistake that any bettor can made. I also lost money couple of times, but I was always learning.
Later I was sharing my picks and was invited to work for some portals, secret betting groups,… I even worked as a betting advisor for some time.
And believe me, selling picks is a huge business. There will always be someone who will buy your picks, you just need to wait for good run. People usually act emotionally and selling picks become a very profitable business in this world.
But I realised that this is wrong way for me and the model of selling picks is imperfect model, that will not help followers.
Most of my friends who wanted to profit in sports betting, started looking for picks from other handicappers.
While they were following other people’s picks, I was learning about strategy, about betting in general and thinking how to create a betting model, which will gives me winning percentages and quality game research.
When most betting friends were looking how to sell their picks I started to focus on how could I help myself and other people to better understand sports betting and start making better game research on their own without paying monthly subscription their whole life.
I was also thinking how to generate more incomes and create an online business in sports betting world.
But of course, back then there was not many information about strategy, sports betting in general and how to create a betting model.
And even now, what you see in most cases are just picks on the internet.
Before I started with this site, I was thinking for almost one year how to help bettors. And I mean, how to help them for real, so they can win on the long run.
Not one game.
Not one month.
Not one season.
But lifetime.
Anyone can have a good season, which can be pure luck. But how to gain the level of the knowledge, experiences, formulas, methods and even a mindset that will change bettors mind, so they transform from being a followers into a handicappers.
Turning a prey into a predator.
I am in this business since 1998 and I worked as a betting advisor for some short period of time.
And I realised, that in most cases bettors can not make the same profit than us.
Not only when they followed me, but also when they followed my friends, that were sharing profitable picks. And believe me, there were couple of good handicappers back then.
There was one very good tennis tipster back then and he was constantly reaching yield of around 9-10% and we were working for same betting service and one of our subscribers sent me an email.
He said something like this: “No matter how quick I am with my bets and no matter if I bet on different bookmakers, I can not get the same odds on your baseball picks and I can not get same odds on his tennis picks. If you have a very good season, I make just small profit if I take into account subscription. But if you have an average season, it is almost not possible to have green numbers.”
I realised that picks are like a fish.
You give them fish, you feed them for one day, but at the end they still don’t know how to bet, when to bet, how to find the value, what to do with the money and many other things, that are important.
It is only a matter of time, when followers start losing.
People who are constantly looking for picks usually don’t have the knowledge, the right mindset, the right strategy and money to follow any picks in the first place.
I knew that the whole thing is much more complex and I wanted to create something, that will help bettors to make complete transformation from losing followers to handicappers, that will really win in sports betting market.
There are three types of betting sites, that share their information:
Handicappers – handicappers usually sell their picks. In most cases this is marketing skill, because they usually promote their short term winning records (like: we are on a red hot run in last 50 games with the record of 43-17). And short term winning records are creating a hype and targeting your brain and the dopamine. They are selling or sharing fish. Picks are like a fish. You can eat for a day, but you will eat for a lifetime only if you learn how to catch a fish. They create more followers, who don’t think about the whole thing and with this they create dumb market even dumber.
Games research / statistics sites – those sites will usually charge monthly subscriptions and you will get their statistics, sometimes their winning percentages or some projections. They will never tell you how they do this, they will never share their formulas, methods and important lessons. At the end of the day, they create new followers too.
“Other betting sites” – This is the third group of people or sites, who write articles, reviews, books about sports betting with all kind of information, research and betting theory. We can get general information about sports betting, but we never saw their betting results and they will not help you in any way how to actually bet on sport.
This is why I decided to create
I want to share what I have learned about sports betting in my career. It includes information from all three groups above.
I am not giving you just a fish, but I am teaching you how to catch a fish.
I will show you what is the right mindset to even start betting.
There are two big group of people.
The truth is of course somewhere in the middle.
When you have right tools, resources and methods and combine this with hard work and improvements all the time, then sports betting can become profitable.
I will show you how to set right strategy, how to use simple statistics, how to estimate your own winning percentages, how to create your own betting model and at the end I will show you how you can make a living from sports betting.
I am not giving you just a fish, I want to teach you how to catch a fish, so you have the chance to start winning.
THE KNOWLEDGE, STRATEGY AND THE MINDSET: Most bettors can not survive betting World, because they have in the first place wrong mindset and lack of knowledge. This includes understanding the market, understanding probabilities, what are the odds and chances, what is right strategy,… I will open my mind and show you my mindset, the knowledge and strategy behind it.
ABILITY TO FIND THE VALUE: Odds are nothing else, then information turned into the numbers. Information moves the odds and those odds represent the prices on betting market. This is what we pay. And to know what to pay, we need to estimate the price before we pay. I will show you how I turn information into the numbers and then look for discrepancy between my numbers and bookmakers numbers.
ABILITY TO TRACK BETS and BEAT THE LINE: According to sharpest bookmakers in the World, closing line value theory is the method how they identify sharp bettors and separate then from others (square, losing bettors). To beat the line we must track our bets from different angles and then find if we are winning by pure luck or skill. After that we can adjust the method that we are using for betting.
When you master all betting skill set… you can have control in ALL areas of your betting life…
You Gain the KNOWLEDGE and the CONFIDENCE you need to be in the elite 3% of bettors that win…
This will be a MASSIVE changes to your betting views, betting strategy, betting method and financial situation…
That’s why I do what I do. To make a positive impact on lives from sports bettors across the globe…
Time is the most valuable asset we have in our life.
You can always make more money, but you can never make more time.
You know exactly how much money you have right now, but you never know how much time you still have in your life.
Most people underestimate time.
We underestimate one thing. THE TIME.
A lot of people spend years and years to learn on their own mistakes, they will give away a lot of money, but majority of them will be very disappointed with sports betting.
The best sports players take the advice from coaches and trainers. CEOs have mentors and advisors.
They don’t do it alone.
Why would you?
A lot of them will become even better than their mentors. And I honestly believe, that many of you will become even better than me at the end.
You deserve the best help.
Help from someone, who went trough the hell to come to this point.
If you trust that I can help I’d like to invite you to learn how to bet properly.
I will show you how I do it.
It’s powerful.
It’s authentic.
It’s for everyone.
It will change your betting experience forever.
I made every single mistake a bettor can made. I lost money couple of times and I learned on my mistakes.
Don’t do this.
You can make or lose money, but you can not buy a time.
You have one life and when you are done, you are done. Spend your time wisely! I will show you what I have learned through these years.
Believe me…
Making $1000 requires a summer job. All my betting experiences, betting models and formulas took me 20 years.
And here I am to give this to you on a table, so you save the time, which is our most valuable asset.
Your chance to truly win at sports betting awaits you…
When you make the smart decision to sign up for A Journey Course today…
You’ll discover how to improve the most important areas in your sports betting life.
There’s a lot of noise out there…
Or my success.
That’s part of why I vowed to help people JUST LIKE YOU.
Working with me is intense… why? Because I believe in helping people
get results. Not just results in sports betting, but we must become successful in our life.
That’s why so many of my students love the programme and keep in touch with me.
Those who know me, they know me I am completely passionate and crazy about the whole thing. I care what students/member do, what they read, what they learn and my obsession is to motivate them, so they learn, improve and start betting on their own.
I dig deep, always researching issues that are stopping you from succeeding… and help members to accomplish their goals.
I’ll be there to keep you on the right path. Be ready for this.
Once you join, forget the old gambling and losing mindset.
That’s extra value that handicappers, who create only followers, never do. Having someone who ACTUALLY CARES about you.
Your betting experience will change and you will go farther, faster when you join A Journey Betting Course today…
I guarantee it.
You may think you’re too old to learn all this stuff, you may think you’re bad at math and that you will never learn all the things that you need to succeed.
Truth is, the reason why so many people struggle to survive in sports betting is that they simply make the two following mistakes.
There is nothing more frustrating than spending years in searching someone who will make money for you.
Think twice about this. Nobody will make money for you. It is only about how much you work and how much you learn.
It is almost impossible be in a situation where you first find someone who has true edge against the market and a the same time line movement allows you to bet at the same price.
No one to blame.
Most bettors lose anyway. And many of them who win, win because of pure luck.
Professionalism in sports betting is not just throwing out some picks, but also showing some level of knowledge including the ability to project the odds.
There is very small percentage of bettors, that can make profit and there is very small percentage of bettors, that can have high yield on big market sports and at the same time they beat closing lines.
At the end, followers lose, never improve and what is the most frustrating thing, they have no chance to make a next step into their own betting success.
Once you fully understand how betting market works, what are the odds, what are probabilities and all other things, that are important for successful betting…
You will realise, that…
It is much easier to learn how to bet on your own and then make profit on for yourself, then finding someone who can make big sports market picks, on sharp bookmakers, where he beats closing line, plus he has such a good yield, that when you take into account subscription, you still make money.
And I didn’t even take into account, that handicappers will negative season too.
A lot of time I see handicappers, that say: “I have right information!”.
I love this sport. I know every player. I watch it for last 20 years.
This is BS.
Sports betting has almost nothing to do with the love of sport.
Things changed in last couple of years and reading news, watching games, love for the sports will not bring you anywhere.
After all sports betting has much more in common with investment, math and statistics than with the sport alone.
Sports fans think, that because they love sport, they can win in betting.
This is very wrong.
Sport is used only as a pool of information and it is great for bookmakers, because a lot of people love sports. This automatically means more players and more commission (because of margins)
We can bet on anything. The concept stays pretty the same.
It’s not about the sport, but about the numbers, strategy and prices on the market that you pay.
If sports betting would be so easy and if this would be a “sports knowledge skill”, then sports commentators would be the best bettors in the world.
ESPN journalist, CBS sports analyst would have the best results.
But in reality, they have very little knowledge about sports betting and their betting results are very bad once we include the odds and realistic situation from betting (odds, probabilities and advantage over the bookmakers,…). They don’t have a chance.
Sports betting is a market and in if you want to make money, you must beat this market. The market is expressed with numbers.
Not looking for winners, but looking for a value.
It is a game of prices (odds) not a game of winners and losers if you understand what I want to say.
It is the same with most handicappers, that don’t use any statistics at all and they talk about “winners” only.
You must understand one thing – with the internet, most information are public now. Maybe in some cases you can get some “insider” information from smaller or exotic leagues, but in this cases bookmakers limits are very small and this can not help anyone.
One of the key things, that most bettors still don’t understand are the odds, finding a value and of course realistic expectations.
The odds are nothing else, then probabilities turned into the numbers. And those numbers are the odds. Those odds are directly the prices, that we pay when we bet.
If you constantly pay too much (bet on “bad” odds) you lose money.
In order to win, you need somehow to find out what is the bad price and good price. We can be lucky in some period of time, but on the long run we must find the way how to estimate those numbers.
PERIOD!
Finding the team that has better chance to win the game is logical.
Usually the odds below 2.00 (US +100), when we talk about the events with two possible outcomes will give you the answer.
But we are not looking who will have better chance to win a game, because finding out who has better chance to win the game is not that hard.
But what are those chances?
Is this this 55% or 65%?
Maybe 55% is qualified bet and will make you a profit on the long run, while 65% assumption is wrong and will not make you a profit on the long run.
I am sure, that there is no genius in this world, who can estimate those numbers in his head by reading news.
It must be some statistical method, it must be some formulas, that will constantly give you pictures about games.
Numbers are the heart of any sports betting.
Bookmakers use statistics and numbers. The odds are represented in numbers, not in colours for example.
Do you think, that they just read news and they simply set the odds based on their current feelings?
NO.
Every successful business use statistics. Companies spend millions and millions of dollars for research and optimisation.
I always wonder, who most people in sports betting world are still so naive, that they think that they will win without any game research, that includes statistics.
It also gives you enough flexibility to change the method and include your own ideas. Some of my students already created some betting models, that have great results. Some even better than my initial.
I’m not interested in working with people who constantly blame others others for their losses, who are not committed to grow, and all kind of unmotivated and lazy gamblers, who are looking for shortcuts, which picks basically are in the first place. People who make excuses and don’t push themselves to succeed…
This is not for the weak minded.
I will show you how I do it and I will help learn the mindset and practices of profitable sports bettors.
But ONLY if you’re the kind of person who’s 100% committed.
Change Your Betting Experience Forever…
Today
When you make the smart decision to sign up for A Journey betting Course today…
You’ll discover how to improve your sports betting life:
Time to ACCELERATE your learning curve! Create sustained and permanent change when you sign up today…
The A Journey online betting course is the ONLY sports betting course, where:
And the best part is…
This is the knowledge for a lifetime and once you buy a course you have lifetime access to it.
It is called A Journey, because the new updates are coming every year and once you have it, you have it for a lifetime.
Sports bettors spend thousands of thousands of dollars for sports picks. Even more they lose when betting on sports.
For much lower price You get ALL access to my private betting models, strategies, methods, tools and other information that I use for myself.
You must understand, that I am committed – TO HELP YOU!
Do you want to know how I analyse games, how I think, how I set money management, which sites I use and how to start using simple statistics in sports betting? Well, we will go trough these topics here and this is a great start into predictive models. We will also go trough videos about google sheets basics and how to use this easy-to-understand, but powerful tool.
How betting market works? Why they move the lines? Why you should never pay or follow picks, exposing sports betting world and handicappers, why betting market is considered as a dumb market, social media handicappers,….
You get my private templates and models to download. You can use them or work on your ideas. We are constantly adding improving and adding new models.
PREDICTIVE MODELS
I will teach you how to calculate your own odds.
Simply as that. To beat a bookmakers on the long run and start making profit, you need to find the value.
I will show you how I do it.
I will teach you the concept, I will explain basic things that you need and I reveal my models, that I use for my sports betting.
There is NO OTHER HANDICAPPER in the world, that will give you his private betting models. Most of them don’t project the odds anyway. You get full access to my private formulas.
You can connect with other members, who are part of our journey and many of them already created their own betting models.
You can share your own ideas, projections or bets that are based on algorithms. No guessing and no throwing out useless picks.
Every member can become a part of my business model. Sports betting market is getting bigger and bigger. It creates huge opportunities to make more money.
I will show you how generate extra income streams in sports betting World and you can become part of it.
My vision is that projections will replace picks in the future. Picks alone have no value, because it will not tell you the price, that you are willing to pay. Projections on the other side are statistics based estimations of probabilities of sports events and it is directly the price we are willing to pay.
We constantly upgrade the course, the models. New ideas and new things are coming all the time.
Sports betting World is changing. New things are coming every year and we adopt to new things constantly. More content, more sports, more models, more formulas, more ideas,…
Every next update is FREE of charge. No struggling with monthly payments, no monthly subscriptions,… pay only once and Focus on Your SUCCESS in Sports Betting World.
Key Features:
Key Features:
Key Features:
Key Features:
Key Features:
Key Features:
Key Features:
These FREE VALUE for ALL SPORTS is CRUCIAL to your success and becoming independent handicapper!
Opening my mindset, my betting methods, my views on sports betting market and betting world, my formulas, my betting models, my strategy, connecting with other members, generating more incomes streams,…
Different sports gives you different views and getting more ideas, that you can even use later…
Helping you become a bettor you want, faster.
I don’t want you to miss out. Trust me, you need the whole course to REALLY ACCELERATE your growth…
That way you leave FULLY confident and equipped with the tools you need.
THIS IS PRICELESS.
Imagine that you project the odds before you bet.
Imaging you put the numbers in model and it will calculate the spreads and the odds before you bet.
Not only is necessary if you want to win at sports betting, it is also much more exciting and powerful when you have the ability to calculate the odds even before bookmakers open theirs.
All because you learned HOW to bet properly without guessing because you signed up today…
What’s that worth to you?
Make the smart decision. Get the entire A Journey Betting Course AND learn how to project the odds for different sports. Find the right sport for you and become the best.
Don’t wait to sign up… the price might change once we add more and more content, more and more videos, more and more sports…
After you pay, you will get username and password via email. If you have any questions, please email me.
I am happy to help
mb@underdogchance.com
See what others say about the course and me:
After you pay, you will get username and password via email. If you have any questions, please email me.
I am happy to help
mb@underdogchance.com
Now you might be wondering, is A Journey course right for me?
This course is for you if you can say YES to any of these statements:
The course ISN’T for you if:
If you made it this far down this page, it’s a sign you’re determined to become winning bettor.
Maybe you’ve wanted to step forward and have been dreaming of the day when you will give yourself a chance to start making money in sports betting world, but you didn’t find the information yet or you were just lost in too many bad information on the internet.
Believe me, I know how it is. When I started betting, there was no such a course, like A Journey. I didn’t want to be a follower my whole life, but back then there was no such a thing and no such a handicapper, that will reveal his formulas. And even now, nobody will reveal their formulas.
But I decided to do this. I really want to help you.
Anyone can learn and use the methods in the course. We have students from 18 to 65 years old.
The question is: what are you going to do about it?
You could keep doing what you were doing and get the same result, or you could give A Journey a try and join people who now bet on their own without paying monthly subscriptions year after year.
And remember, once you buy a course, you have LIFETIME ACCESS TO MY VIDEOS!
After you pay, you will get username and password via email. If you have any questions, please email me.
I am happy to help
mb@underdogchance.com
It is for everyone! This course was created with beginners in mind. But it’s also a great choice if you’ve been successfully betting for a while and feel like you’re not making much progress or if you just stuck somewhere and would like to refresh your knowledge, get some new ideas and see how I do it. Experienced bettors and professionals will improve their betting knowledge. And we all know, that improving all the time is the key for success.
In fact, the A Journey course has helped lots of advanced bettors and improve their betting experience.
I’m here for you. When you buy the course, you get direct access to me. If you have questions about the course, just write me an email and I’ll be happy to help.
Once you buy A journey course, you have access to videos forever. You can start using it now, in one week or in 5 years. Of course the sooner you start, the sooner you’ll be able to bet on your own and create your own simple betting models. Don’t wait, time is passing! You can watch it unlimited times. And don’t forget, that every next update is free of charge.
No. All my models are easy to understand and created with one of the most friendly tools out there – google sheets. You must understand something. There are other great programming languages like python for example, where bettors can create their own betting models, but for majority of bettors such things are too complex. This is why I wanted to give something, that anyone can use right away and will boost chances in sports betting. After all, I use this for myself and I you will see that you can do a lot of great work with sheets.
We start with blank sheet or with the sheet that I have prepared for you and you just follow what I do. At the end, you will just type/select teams and programme will calculate winning percentages for those games.
You will only need a computer, internet and an email account. Thats’s it.
Yes, it is possible to get courses separately too – contact me at mb@underdogchance.com and I will give you all needed information about the prices and payments. The prices vary from sport from sport (Soccer $499 to $999 for baseball). Remember…I am not selling sports picks. I am giving you my creation, my betting models, my formulas. Something nobody will share with you. Simply send me the email and I will give you all the details.
Most bettors will pay from $100 up to $1000 per month for betting picks. The prices go up to $25,000 per month.
With my “A Journey” you will get insight into my work and you will grow – LIFETIME. I will show you the methods, mindset and strategies, that made me money in the past.
If you buy picks you get a “fish”. After you eat the “fish”, you are at the beginning again. With my “A Journey” I show you how I catch a “fish” or if you like, I teach you how to catch a “fish”.
After you pay, you will get username and password via email. If you have any questions, please email me.
I am happy to help
mb@underdogchance.com