This is not gambling site, this is not gambling advice and the course is strictly educational. All information are for informational and entertainment purposes only. This information is not intended for any use which might promote any illegal activity or violate any of your local, state or federal laws. I will teach you how to calculate the probabilities for sports events in google spreadsheet and help you understand sports betting and sports betting world.
Dear Sports Bettor,
I notice something pretty frustrating every time when I talk to my friends who bet.
As you know, millions of people bet every day and you also probably hear a lot of time, that 98% of all people lose all the time.
Most of them love sport and most of them know how to place a bet but only a few understand what are the odds, what is probability or even how to turn winning percentages into the odds.
Most of them are looking for someone who will make them rich quickly but only a few understand that nobody can make you rich, except you.
Most of them think that the only thing they need are so-called winning picks, but only few understand, that finding good picks is just small piece of whole story.
Most of them think that they will win bets if they will know who will win the game, but only few understand that finding the value and at the end beating the closing line value is important to win on the lung run.
Most of them are still naive and think, that they will beat bookmakers just by reading news, watching games and because of the love for sports, but only a few understand, that on the other side we have bookmakers, who are better and better every year, who use complex algorithms and using statistics is crucial if you want to even start thinking to beat them.
They will usually act very emotionally when they lose or win and they will usually jump from site to site, from handicapper to handicapper with he hope, that they will find someone, who will make them rich.
Unfortunately, their attempts aren’t successful, and I hate to see the look on their faces when they realize that sports betting is not working.
They spent months searching for someone who will make good bets for them, did their best to understand sports betting, but there is so many bad information on the internet and it is hard to find what is truth.
They may even have spent thousands of dollars on subscriptions.
All of this will usually lead to big disappointment, no matter if they find winning bettor. It is a general problem of sports betting world and almost impossible to follow other people’s bets.
I spent years wondering why most people are so naive when it comes to sports betting. Why they have created wrong illusion and why they think that following other people’s work without any effort from them will bring them great results.
And I finally found the answer.
I was talking with my friend, who is fitness trainer and I asked him, how to get 6-PACK ABS.
Most people believe, that if they will go to the gym, and if they will train hard, that they will lose weight, get 6-pack abs.
But of course, this is not true. I always remember his words, that the training is only 30% of whole story and that most important thing is what you eat. 70% of everything is food.
The problem with people, who train hard, but still don’t get enough results was wrong focus, because they didn’t pay attention to what is most important. And this was the food.
In general more and more people understand this now.
Unfortunately, in sports betting most people still focus on that 30% (picks). They will focus on finding other people’s picks trough forums, portals, betting services, twitter. Some of them will focus on researching games, reading news, watching games at night… but of course in most cases and especially on the long run, this is not working. Most bettors on the internet don’t have the edge anyway and they show only short term results and build marketing on that. A lot of naive people will jump on this.
The problem is – WRONG FOCUS.
To make a bet or to find so-called pick is the last thing you do. There is a lot of other things to learn before you place your bet. There is many other things that are important to understand in order to have chance to win at sports betting.
And I like to say, that picks are 30%, like the training when it comes to fitness and 70% are other things that we must understand.
If you lose all the time, this is probably because you had wrong focus. You are focusing on 30%, but missing other 70%.
Betting without strategy, constantly following other people’s picks in dynamic sports betting world, where the odds are changing every minute and betting without any statistics at all will lead to disappointment.
Before I started with this site, I was thinking for almost one year how to help bettors. And I mean, how to help them for real, so they can become better.
I am in this business since 1998 and I worked as a betting advisor for some time. In other words me and some other betting experts from different sports were selling picks.
And I realised, that in most cases bettors can not make the same profit than us. Not only when they followed me, but also when they followed my friends, that were sharing picks. And believe me, there were couple of good handicappers back then.
There was one very good tennis tipster back then and he was constantly reaching yield of around 9-10% and we were working for same betting service and one of our subscribers sent me an email.
He said something like this: “No matter how quick I am with my bets and no matter if I bet on different bookmakers, I can not get the same odds on your baseball picks and I can not get same odds on his tennis picks. If you have very good season, I make just small profit if I take into account subscription. But if you have an average season, it is almost not possible to have green numbers.”
I realised that picks are like a fish. You give them fish, you feed them for one day, but at the end they still don’t know how to bet, they don’t know what is important to understand, how to set the right strategy and many other important things.
It is only a matter of time, when they will start losing.
So, I was thinking for some time, how to help bettors. And then I decided to teach them the other “70%” that is missing.
There are three types of betting sites, that share their information:
Handicappers – handicappers usually sell their picks. This is the biggest group on the internet, but this makes sense, because most people are just looking for picks. In general, they usually promote their short term winning records (like: we are on a red hot run in last 50 games with the record of 43-17). Some of them track their records trough some monitoring sites, but we all know, that we can always close accounts there and betting with imaginary units is not the same. And I didn’t even include bookmakers restrictions, the psychology of unlimited bankrolls. However, they are selling or sharing fish. They are giving 30%, but in most cases big part is still missing. Bettors, players or punters if you like, they will not learn anything at the end.
Games research / statistics sites – those sites will usually charge monthly subscriptions and you will get their statistics, sometimes their winning percentages or some projections. This is much better, because with quality game research you can make better bets, but at the end of the day, they will never tell you how they do this and they will also not focus how to bet properly, how to set strategy, money management, etc…
“Betting theory authors” – This is the third group of smart people, who write articles, books about sports betting with all kind of charts, research and betting theory. In most cases they have very good general information about sports betting, but we never saw their betting results and they will not help you in any way how to bet.
This is why I decided to create A Journey Into the Mind of A Successful Sports Bettor – Online Betting Course.
I want to share what I have learned about sports betting in my career. It includes information from all three groups above.
I am not giving you just a fish, but I am teaching you how to catch a fish.
I will show you what is the right mindset to even start betting. There are two big group of people. People who believe that it is not possible to win at sports betting and the other group that thinks that betting is easy – you just need someone, who will make good bets for you. The betting group created an illusion, that they will become rich quickly.
The truth is of course somewhere in the middle.
When you have right tools, resources and methods and combine this with hard work and improvements all the time, then sports betting can become profitable.
I will show you how to set right strategy, how to use simple statistics, how to estimate your own winning percentages, how to create your own betting model and at the end I will show you how you can make a living from sports betting.
I am not giving you just a fish, I want to teach you how to catch a fish, so you have the chance to start winning.
But before I reveal it to you, let me tell you a little bit more about myself.
I started betting in 1998, when I was 18 years old. I made some bets even before that in local betting shops and there were no age restrictions back then. The lady, who worked in a local betting shop didn’t care how old are you. She took money, gave you the ticked and that’s it.
I started like most bettors. I bet for fun and I was losing money all the time. Later I went to the college and I was lucky, because I gained basic knowledge about math and statistics, which helped me later.
Back then bookmakers were still not that flexible and smart like they are now. I made a lot of money just by checking my local bookmakers odds with some big betting sites. When Pinnacle dropped the odds and my local bookmaker didn’t move the line and where I basically get better odds than Pinnacle, I simple knew that this was a good bet.
When they realised, that I am winning they started to block my bets and my combination. They were smarter and smarter every year and it was a time to move on.
I started betting online and I made every single mistake that any bettor can made. I also lost money couple of times, but I was always learning.
Later I was sharing my picks and was invited to work for some portals, secret betting groups. I even worked as a betting advisor for some time. And believe me, selling picks is a huge business. There will always be someone who will buy your picks, you just need to wait for good run. People usually act emotionally and selling picks become a very profitable business in this world.
But I realised that this is wrong way for me and also for most people.
When most of my betting friends at that time, who were looking to find someone who will give them picks, I started to to create my own bets. When they were following other people’s picks, I was learning about strategy, about betting in general and thinking how to create a betting model, which will gives me winning percentages and quality game research.
When most betting friends were looking how to sell their picks I started to focus on how could I help myself and other people to better understand sports betting and start making better game research on their own without paying monthly subscription their whole life. I was also thinking how to generate more incomes and create an online business in sports betting world.
But of course, back then there was not many information about strategy, sports betting in general and how to create a betting model.
And even now, what you see in 90% cases are just picks on the internet.
This is why I have created something I wish existed back then when I started betting.
We usually underestimate one thing. THE TIME.
This is why I always say: “Learn From Other People’s Mistakes, Life Is Too Short To Make Them All Yourself!”
A lot of people spend years and years to learn on their own mistakes, they will give away a lot of money, but majority of them will be very disappointed with sports betting.
The best sports players take the advice from coaches and trainers. CEOs have mentors and advisors. They don’t do it alone. Why would you?
A lot of them will become even better than their mentors. And I honestly believe, that many of you will become even better than me at the end. But I will give you information, that will help you to become better, that will help you to make better game research and that will give you the chance to make money.
You deserve the best help. Help from someone, who went trough the hell to come to this point. If you trust that I can help I’d like to invite you to learn how to bet properly. I will show you how I do it.
It’s powerful. It’s authentic. It will change your betting experience forever. I quit my job, I become professional sports betting entrepreneur and it works.
I made every single mistake a 38 year old bettor can made. I lost money couple of times and I learned on my mistakes.
Don’t do this.
You can make or lose money, but you can not buy a time. You have one life and when you are done, you are done. Spend your time wisely! I will show you what I have learned through these years.
You may think you’re too old to learn all this stuff, you may think you’re bad at math and that you will never learn all the things that you need to succeed.
Truth is, the reason why so many people struggle to survive in sports betting is that they simply make the two following mistakes.
There is nothing more frustrating than spending years in searching someone who will make money for you.
Think twice about this. Nobody will make money for you. It is only about how much you work and how much you learn.
It is very hard to find someone who will have such good results, that will cover your subscription and overcome all the obstacles that we face, like bookmakers limits, odds dropping.
Most bettors lose anyway. There is very small percentage of bettors, that can make profit and there is very small percentage of bettors, that can have high yield on big market sports and at the same time they beat closing lines.
Usually it is hard to have constantly good results all the time. Even the best handicappers will have negative seasons.
At the end, you didn’t grow, you didn’t learn anything new and what is even more frustrating,
It is much easier to learn how to bet on your own and then make profit on for yourself, then finding someone who can make big sports market picks, on sharp bookmakers, where he beats closing line, plus he has such a good yield, that when you take into account subscription, you still make money. And I didn’t even take into account, that he will have negative season too.
After all, if you bet on your own and if you set right strategy, you will survive. If you blindly follow someone’s picks without basic knowledge, you will probably not survive at some point.
A lot of time I see handicappers, that say: “I have right information!”. This is BS.
Things changed in last couple of years and reading news, watching games, love for the sports will not bring you anywhere.
If this would be so easy, than sports commentators would be the best bettors in the world. ESPN journalist, CBS sports analyst would have the best results. But in reality, they have very little knowledge about sports betting and their picks in general are not good. Maybe from sports fan perspective, but when we include the odds, probabilities and advantage over the bookmakers, they don’t have a chance.
Because you know…sports betting is a market and in if you want to make money, you must beat someone else. Not to find which team has better chance to win, but you must beat a market. And when you play against bookmakers, then you must beat them. It is a game of prices (odds) not a game of winners and losers if you understand what I want to say.
It is the same with most handicappers, that don’t use any statistics at all.
You must understand one thing – with the internet, most information are public now. Maybe in some cases you can get some “insider” information from smaller or exotic leagues, but in this cases bookmakers limits are very small and this can not help anyone.
One of the key things, that most bettors still don’t understand are the odds, finding a value and of course realistic expectations.
The odds are nothing else, than probabilities turned into the numbers. And those numbers are the odds. Those odds are directly the prices, that we pay when we bet.
If you constantly pay to much (bet on “bad” odds) you lose money.
In order to win, you need somehow to find out what is the bad price and good price. We can be lucky in one game, we can be lucky in 50 games, but on the long run we must find the way how to estimate those numbers.
Finding the winner is easy. Usually the odds below 2.00 (US +100), when we talk about the events with two possible outcomes will give you the answer.
But we are not looking who will have better chance to win a game, because finding out who has better chance to win the game is not that hard. But what are those chances? Is this this 55% or 65%? Maybe 55% is qualified bet and will make you a profit on the long run, while 65% assumption is wrong and will not make you a profit on the long run.
I am sure, that there is no genius in this world, who can estimate those numbers in his head by reading news. It must be some statistical method, it must be some formulas, that will constantly give you pictures about games. And then you can always combine this with other information to make final bets. But I strongly believe, that statistics must be the heart of any sports betting.
Bookmakers use statistics. Do you think, that they just read news and they simply set the odds based on their current feelings? NO. Every successful business use statistics. Companies spend millions and millions of dollars for research and optimisation.
I always wonder, who most people in sports betting world are still so naive, that they think that they will win without any game research, that includes statistics.
In my A Journey online betting course, I will show you how you can estimate your own winning percentages and your own ODDS for different sports. It also gives you enough flexibility to change the method little bit and include your own ideas. Some of my students already created some betting models, that have great results. Some even better than my initial.
The A Journey online betting course is the only sports betting course, where one handicapper is willing to reveal his private betting models and formulas behind his bets. At the same time I give you access to all my bets and projections to.
It is the only betting course, where we go trough all levels from right mindset, to sports betting basics, creating a betting model and even how to generate more incomes and become an entrepreneur in a sports betting world.
After using the course, you’ll know exactly what you can expect from sports betting, how to set right strategy, how to estimate your own odds and if you want to make step forward how to run an online business related to sports betting.
You will completely avoid mistakes that other people in sports betting make from the start.
All of this with lessons are easy to understand and no matter if you are advanced bettor or a beginner, at the end you will know how to create your own betting model and estimate your own odds, which will give you huge advantage over other bettors.
The best part is that this is the knowledge for a lifetime and once you buy a course you have lifetime access to it. It is called A Journey, because the new updates are coming every year and once you have it, you have it for a lifetime.
Sports bettors in USA spend annually $600 for sports picks. In many cases they don’t even make a profit. I give you for the same price access to my private betting models, strategies, methods, tools and other information that I use for myself.
You must understand, that I am commited – TO HELP YOU!
Do you want to know how I analyse games, how I think, how I set money management, which sites I use and how to start using simple statistics in sports betting? Well, we will go trough these topics here and this is a great start into predictive models. We will also go trough videos about google sheets basics and how to use this easy-to-understand, but powerful tool.
PREDICTIVE MODELS
I will teach you how to calculate your own odds. Simply as that. To beat a bookmakers on the long run and start making profit, you need to find the way how to see where is the value. But how to estimate the value? I will show you how I do it. I will teach you the concept, I will explain basic things that you need and I reveal my models, that I use for my sports betting. There is no handicapper in the world, that will give you his private betting models. Most of them don’t project the odds anyway. You get full access to my private formulas.
BASEBALL BETTING MODEL – you will have the ability to estimate the odds for thousands and thousands of games. Blindly following this betting model gives you the edge over bookmakers, but what is most importantly, you get the first picture about games and because of this you can make better bets. No guessing anymore, where is the value. The formulas and this betting model will show you.
2017 blindly following the model and the method that I explain in a course:
NBA/BASKETBALL BETTING MODEL – this is one of the best and most easy-to-understand models that I have created ever. I created this betting model for basketball bettors, so they can project their own lines when they make bets. I use this for NBA and all other leagues in the world. My basic idea was to give them one tool and then they mix their information with the numbers from betting model. I started using this betting model without any extra research and put the results in the table. I didn’t check injuries, I didn’t include any other factors and in most cases I don’t even know all the teams from different leagues all around the world. I wanted to see how this betting model will perform against bookmakers odds. The results were amazing and after more than 1200 bets, it shows profit and very solid yield. And don’t forget, that I didn’t made any extra research here. Imagine, that you already bet on basketball and want to use this as one more help. You can have even better results.
HOCKEY BETTING MODEL – I show you how to estimate the odds for ice hockey. With this you will estimate your own odds for NHL games. I will show you how to turn decimal odds into US odd, how to estimate moneyline value when you compare your odds with bookmakers odds.
All those betting models and information will help you analyse, research and project your own odds for more than 5000 games in one year!!!
I research around 5000 or even more games from different sports in one year and project my own odds, lines and totals for those games. All my projected lines are posted in membership area, where you will get access after you buy this course.
A lot of my students started using the tools and knowledge to implement the ideas for other sports to. There are successful stories from betting on handball leagues, rugby leagues and even volleyball.
NEW – NFL BETTING MODEL
I have created newest betting model, where you can project your own spreads and totals for every NFL game.
Betting models – soccer/football (10 videos)
I will show you how to create a betting model for soccer. We start with blank sheet and I show you step by step how to do this. I explain the things that you must understand and at the end you will know how to estimate your own odds for soccer. I teach you the concept and this is exactly the same that I use for estimating projected odds for German Bundesliga.
Here is the screenshot of one of the videos:
MAKE A LIVING FROM SPORTS BETTING
Sports betting is a huge business and betting on sports is just one small piece of cake. I will explain you how I make a living in a sports betting world and I will show you how I generated more incomes in my life – all connected with sports betting.
See what others say about the course:
If you have any questions about the course payments, please email me.
I am happy to help
mb@underdogchance.com
Now you might be wondering, is A Journey course right for me?
This course is for you if you can say YES to any of these statements:
The course isn’t for you if:
If you made it this far down this page, it’s a sign you’re determined to become winning bettor.
Maybe you’ve wanted to step forward and have been dreaming of the day when you will give yourself a chance to start making money in sports betting world, but you didn’t find the information yet or you were just lost in too many bad information on the internet.
Believe me, I know how it is. When I started betting, there was no such a course, like A Journey. I didn’t want to be a follower my whole life, but back then there was no such a thing and no such a handicapper, that will reveal his formulas. And even now, nobody will reveal their formulas.
But I decided to do this. I really want to help you.
You know anyone can successfully learn all my methods. I have students from 18 to 65 years old.
The question is: what are you going to do about it?
You could keep doing what you were doing and get the same result, or you could give A Journey a try and join people who now bet on their own without paying monthly subscriptions year after year.
And remember, once you buy a course, you have LIFETIME ACCESS TO MY VIDEOS!
If you have any questions about the course payments, please email me.
I am happy to help
mb@underdogchance.com
It is for everyone! This course was created with beginners in mind. But it’s also a great choice if you’ve been successfully betting for a while and feel like you’re not making much progress or if you just stuck somewhere and would like to refresh your knowledge, get some new ideas and see how I do it. Experienced bettors and professionals will improve their betting knowledge. And we all know, that improving all the time is the key for success.
In fact, the A Journey course has helped lots of advanced bettors and improve their betting experience.
I’m here for you. When you buy the course, you get direct access to me. If you have questions about the course, just write me an email and I’ll be happy to help.
Once you buy A journey course, you have access to videos forever. You can start using it now, in one week or in 5 years. Of course the sooner you start, the sooner you’ll be able to bet on your own and create your own simple betting models. Don’t wait, time is passing! You can watch it unlimited times. And don’t forget, that every next update is free of charge.
No. All my models are easy to understand and created with one of the most friendly tools out there – google sheets. You must understand something. There are for sure some other great programming languages like python for example, where bettors can create their own betting models, but for majority of bettors such things are too complex. This is why I wanted to give something, that anyone can use right away and will boost chances in sports betting. After all, I use this for myself and I you will see that you can do a lot of great work with sheets.
We start with blank sheet or with the sheet that I have prepared for you and you just follow what I do. At the end, you will just type/select teams and programme will calculate winning percentages for those games.
You will only need a computer, internet and an email account. Thats’s it.
Unfortunately paypal option is not available anymore. You can pay with bitcoins (send me email at mb@underdogchance.com and I will give you full support how to do it) or with bank transfer.
Yes, sometimes it is possible to get courses separately too – contact me at mb@underdogchance.com and I will answer you within 24 hours.
Most bettors will pay from $100 up to $1000 per month for betting picks.
If you pay for the picks, you can win or lose. Right?
Nobody can guarantee, that you will win with their picks. Not even the best handicappers in the world. Even they have negative seasons.
With my “A Journey” you will get insight into my work and you will grow. I will show you the methods, mindset and strategies, that made me money in the past.
If you buy picks you get a “fish”. After you eat the “fish”, you are at the beginning again. With my “A Journey” I show you how I catch a fish or if you like, I show you what I have learned through all those betting year.
So, let’s ignore everything and just stick with my personal bets, that are based on my betting model. And let’s say we take for our calculation only basketball betting model, which is in my opinion the best model for building a bankroll.
The price of the course: $999
As you see, if you used only basketball betting model and if you bet at least $20 per game, your course will be paid. Even with $15 per game your course is paid by using only basketball betting model. If you bet at least $300 per game and all leagues can be bet with this amount of money, you would make a profit of $19,044 following this method.
But you must also take into account, that basketball is just one part of the whole story. You get the knowledge for a lifetime, you get profitable MLB betting model, you get NFL model, you get templates for soccer and NHL. And you get free membership, where I share my projections and bets.
There are many services, many handicappers, but only few educate people and I don’t know anyone who is sharing his private models and knowledge.
$999 seems a lot at the start, but most bettors already lost this amount of money anyway. Just check your bookmaker account and your bet history. But once you have A Journey course you have access for a lifetime and even if you use only one betting model (basketball), the course is paid off ten times already.
If you have any questions about the course payments, please email me.
I am happy to help
mb@underdogchance.com